Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.266177 0.362731 0.470051 0.595957 0.737648 0.890482 1.066211
2025-06-15 0.139341 0.260924 0.415256 0.613907 0.853650 1.126397 1.453724
2025-06-22 0.073571 0.193793 0.366515 0.605330 0.907573 1.262977 1.700203
2025-06-29 0.031885 0.139363 0.319477 0.587549 0.942072 1.371021 1.909596
2025-07-06 0.016868 0.120473 0.316468 0.622699 1.038600 1.550126 2.199690
2025-07-13 0.008478 0.108379 0.320350 0.665009 1.142811 1.737700 2.499389
2025-07-20 0.003182 0.096700 0.321687 0.701663 1.238295 1.913649 2.784561
2025-07-27 0.001511 0.096351 0.342404 0.766521 1.371265 2.136495 3.126840
2025-08-03 0.000170 0.089164 0.348523 0.808470 1.472855 2.319662 3.420749
2025-08-10 NaN 0.072787 0.332809 0.814861 1.524745 2.439135 3.636168
2025-08-17 NaN 0.045733 0.285247 0.766114 1.497311 2.455209 3.722594
2025-08-24 NaN 0.024253 0.237767 0.710967 1.456617 2.451146 3.781558
2025-08-31 NaN 0.012928 0.210145 0.688444 1.464355 2.513858 3.929650
2025-09-07 NaN 0.008737 0.204270 0.704609 1.529305 2.653144 4.175902
2025-09-14 NaN 0.003835 0.186691 0.696277 1.556161 2.740574 4.355447
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000700 0.165057 0.676881 1.564634 2.802378 4.501753
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000465 0.171554 0.714780 1.661243 2.983412 4.800700
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000421 0.181585 0.760202 1.769684 3.180709 5.120766
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000279 0.188711 0.799499 1.868681 3.365303 5.424724
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000697 0.209950 0.868865 2.014699 3.614061 5.811317
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000619 0.219559 0.913636 2.122492 3.810954 6.131499
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000058 0.211441 0.920450 2.170991 3.927136 6.348072
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.177687 0.868430 2.125493 3.913956 6.397415